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Monday, January 5, 2015

Israeli Election Update: PA Sanctions, Deri Threats, Likud Recounts, Never Dull

I have no doubt that the Israeli, read Likud campaign threats to the P.A. Palestinian Authority to withhold funding is related to the 2015 (5775) Knesset Elections. Two reasons:

  • primary results leave few Right candidates, including sitting Knesset Members, in the cold
  • two years ago, Israel did the same, and two years ago, there was also Knesset elections
Prime Minister Binyamin Bibi Netanyahu is too good and experienced a politician to decide on anything like that by "chance."
As soon as there was talk of Arye Deri's possible resignation, there were predictions that it was just to pressure the Yosef clan and veteran Shas supporters for more support. These "resignations" aren't immediate, which gives time for drama for a showman like Deri.

Nothing is dull when Aryeh Deri is involved.
According to Channel 2, in Beit Jann, MK Tzachi Hanegbi received 250 votes — but only 197 Likud members had voted overall. Similarly, in Jerusalem, MK Yuli Edelstein received nearly a thousand votes more than the number of voters at the station.
Hanegbi dropped down three spots, from 9th to 12th, after the reevaluation.

Read more: Likud primary recount still leaves Hotovely in the cold | The Times of Israel http://www.timesofisrael.com/likud-primary-recount-leaves-hotovely-in-same-place/#ixzz3NvWQq7Dv  Follow us: @timesofisrael on Twitter | timesofisrael on Facebook
Even though MK Tzippi Hotobelli initiated the recount, she is still out of the "safe seats" predicted by the polls. Many of the more "nationalist" or Right members of Likud have been disappointed in her politics of late. That's why she got fewer votes. And also she had gotten in on the "coattails" of the Moshe Feiglin supporters. He did much worse, because his supporters are very much disenchanted with the Likud in general. They either left the Likud or didn't vote in the primaries.
With over two months left before Knesset Elections, there's lots more to come. Stay tuned...


goyisherebbe said...

I suspect that besides the Bivas character assassination and the kippa-wearing Likud members in Judea and Samaria who follow Bibi against Feiglin, there have been a number of former Manhigut people who are applying the principle of being part of a large national party by joining Naftali Bennett in the Bayit Yehudi. Moshe Feiglin said, in my presence at a parlor meeting in Kochav Hashachar several years ago, that it wasn't about him personally and that it might take 20 years to accomplish. Bennett is not the ideal, but he is a step forward from Netanyahu. He should be Foreign Minister in the next government and PM after Netanyahu retires. Then we can complain about him as not being good enough.

Batya Medad said...

For a lot of Feihlin supporters NRP is home.

Leah said...

It is dizzying to even just read.....blink and eye, and oops, you've just missed another party change....

Sammy Finkelman said...

Aryeh Deri did completely resign, but that was only from the old Knesset, so, by itself, it does not mean too much. He will simply lose two months salary, but get a severance package.

But he also resigned as Shas party chairman and doesn't want to be on the list.

All the big people at Shas think the party can't survive without him.

He agreed to meet a lot of Rabbis and Shas party officials but said he wouldn't change his mind.

But that was last week.

Media writers still see him as coming back and trumpet the slightest sign. They don't want to believe it.

But he may know that Rabbi Ovadia Yosef said even worse things about him than what's been leaked, or other people said things about him to Rabbi Ovadia Yosef or others.

Batya Medad said...

Leah, yes, for sure.
Sammy, thanks, good points. Tip of the iceberg for sure when it comes to Deri. No doubt he also has dirt on others.

Sammy Finkelman said...

Israel has now made one condition: the declaration that the fact that Israel is a Jewish state is not a problem.

And maybe also, not quite explicitly, that their interlocutors stop honoring murderers, usually described as incitement.

It needs to add some more:

1) Any Palestinians Israel negotiates with must be given complete freedom to negotiate by the Arab League, or the Arab League must be a party to the negotiations.

2) Expression of regret and repentance, with explicit examples, for theer war crimes and terrorist crimes against Israel.

And that probably doesn't cover it all.

They probably need to agree that it is correct for Israel to be placed in a superior position, otherwise negotiations are awaste of time.

Sammy Finkelman said...

That elonged somewhere else. I don't know if Deri has anything on anybody else.

Sammy Finkelman said...

Another problem for Deri is that he apparently lied about Shas came to endorse the Oslo accords: It was Deri who convinced Rabbi Ovadia Yosef (that they would work - that was the issue with Rav Yosef) and not the other way around.

Batya Medad said...

Deri is a dangerous man.