And for months already, two of Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu's coalition partners have not been acting like partners. Finance Minister Yair Lapid, Yesh Atid-There's a Future, and Justice Minister Tsipi Livni, Hat'nuah-The Movement, have been campaigning against Bibi as much as Opposition Leader, Issac Herzog, Avodah-Labor, has been doing. Loyalty isn't on their menu.
Polls show that Livni is on the verge of finding her party in the footnotes of Israeli History, and Lapid's party will shrink by a hefty percentage. IMRA:
|Sunday, November 30, 2014|
|Dialog Poll: National camp 77 seats (Bayit Yehudi 2nd largest party|
|Dialog Poll: National camp 77 seats (Bayit Yehudi 2nd largest party after|
Dr. Aaron Lerner - IMRA 30 November 20014
Poll carried out 26-27 November under the supervision of statistics
professor and pollster Camil Fuchs of a representative sample of 535 adult
Israelis (including Israeli Arabs).
Published in Haaretz on 30 November August 2014
Statistical error +/- 4.1 percentage points
If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats)
Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
Please note: There are 120 seats in the Knesset. Parties must receive a
minimum of 4 seats in the elections to be included in the Knesset. After
elections are held the coalition forming a government must receive 61 votes
in a vote of confidence in the Knesset.
---  Likud Beiteinu (Likud & Yisrael Beiteinu)
24 [---] Likud
11 [---] Yisrael Beiteinu
11  Lapid "Yesh Atid" Party
13  Labor
16  Bayit Yehudi
06  Shas
08  Yahadut Hatorah
04  Livni party "Hatnua" Party
06  Meretz
09  Arab parties
00  Kadima
12 [---] Kachlon party [counted in national camp]
29 UNDECIDED expressed in the seats they represent
Should Netanyahu run in the coming elections to be prime minster?
47% The time has come for him to retire and leave the stage for others
45% He should run another time
08% Don't know
Why do you think the prime minister is promoting the national law?
41% Because of Likud primaries and the struggle for votes from the Right
40% To strengthen Israel's position as a Jewish State
19% Don't know
Of the following who is most appropriate to be prime minister?
Netanyahu 35% Bennett 6% Herzog 17% Lapid 7% Liberman 8% Don't know 17%
Are you satisfied with the performance of PM Netanyahu? Yes 38%
Are you satisfied with the performance of FM Liberman? Yes 39% No 47% Don't
Are you satisfied with the performance of Treasury Minister Lapid? Yes 23%
No 65% Don't know 12%
Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: firstname.lastname@example.org
Emphasis mine, please pay attention to the two contradictory results here that I made "bold." Although a very large percentage of the people polled, 47%, said that Netanyahu should no longer be Prime Minister, when given a choice between him and the wannabes, Bibi got the most support; nobody was even close. It's pretty clear to me that in today's political climate, new elections would just support the Likud and Netanyahu. He will have to work hard, again, to form a coalition, but the Israeli public, as much as it loves to kvetch, does not see anyone as competent/better to replace him.
Until elections are called, and the deadline for party registration has passed, we can't really know which parties will run. And with the new legislation that has raised the "threshold" to 2% of the votes which a political party must get to enter the Knesset, the definition of "small party" has just doubled. That's bad news for those of us on the Right, but that's for another post.