Saturday, March 2, 2013

Bibi In Overtime, Coalition No Closer Or is It?

I know someone whose tax dealings would make my CPA father very nervous; that friend says that his accountant uses "creative bookkeeping." 

That phrase "creative bookkeeping" keeps popping into my head when I read all of the articles about how Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu can make a government coalition with various incompatible political parties.  Many of the same people also claim that the same Arabs who want to totally destroy us, men, women and children, (as Haman from the Purim Holiday's Megillat Scroll of Esther unabashedly had planned) can be placated with the gift of Land and then make peace with us.  You really need a creative, unrealistic imagination to believe that.  To put it simply, it would go against the laws of nature.  Maybe they want to keep a grown tiger as a pet, thinking it's a tabby on steroids...

A few minutes ago I popped into the livingroom and checked what was on the news.  I saw the news clip official meeting of the Prime Minister with President Shimon Peres.  Netanyahu had just formally requested another two weeks to form his coalition.

The big question would be:
Is it possible for Bibi to form a viable and stable coalition?

The pundits claim it can be done.  Times of Israel's Yoel Goldman shows that Netanyahu does not need the thirty-one seats Lapid and Bennett could give him:
If Labor, with its 15 Knesset seats were to unexpectedly join Likud-Beytenu (31), Netanyahu could then turn to Shas (11) and United Torah Judaism (7) to complete a 70-seat Knesset majority.

photo credit: Yossi Zeliger/Flash90
Bennett and Lapid, two newbies, inexperienced first-time MK's and party leaders have been "negotiating" under the premise that Bibi will buckle and give into their demands.  One of their demands is that the chareidi, aka ultra-Orthodox parties be kept out of the coalition.  Being so adamantly "anti" any sector is Israeli society is a bad sign for ambitious politicians who dream of being Prime Minister some day.  Actually it reminds me of Yitzchak Rabin, who as Prime Minister said he was the Prime Minister for those who supported him, not for the "settlers;" that's people like me, who opposed his Oslo Accords.

One thing that Netanyahu does understand is that a Prime Minister should have as broad a coalition as possible to represent all sectors in Israeli society.

Bennett and Lapid have been concentrating on the simple arithmetic.
Likud + Lapid + Bennett = 62

Sixty-two are a majority, more than half of one-hundred-twenty.  They have been counting on Netanyahu needing them so desperately that he'd let them write the deal.  At this point, Tsippit Livni is the only party leader to have already signed, and she got a great deal.

I wouldn't bet on this one.  Netanyahu is one wily politician, and he may shock us all, which is what he likes to do.  Considering that the polls are showing Lapid leading Bibi if there were to be new elections, maybe that's why Lapid isn't wiling to compromise.  But he should remember that when Netanyahu called for elections a few months ago, the polls predicted that Bibi's Likud, even with Yisrael Beitenu, should expect at least 50% more seats.   And I highly doubt that your average NRP aka Bayit Yehudi voter approves of Bennett's fanatically anti-chareidi stand.

Stay tuned....


goyisherebbe said...

I don't think Bennett's stand is "fanatical". I think it's pretty normal. It's hard to believe that Lapid will get the votes the polls are giving him in a second campaign. The question is what would happen to the composition of the Likud and Bayit Yehudi lists in a repeat election. The unexpected is happening and no one knows.

Batya said...

goyish, in politics
fanatical = inflexible
unless you disagree on that

Hillel Levin said...

Batya you missed what is about to happen:

Hatuna..... 6
Kadima..... 2
Shas...... 11
UTJ........ 7

That is 57 which gives Bibi the ability to bring in Balad with 4 and complete his 61 seat coalition.

This would also solve the 'equality' issues, since with an Arab DM the arabs with Israeli Citizenship will enlist in the IDF.

This will solve the manpower needs and provide us a defense force of like speaking soldiers who will be able to defend against invasion of non-Israeli arabs from Yehudah and shomron.

Batya said...

Hillel, doubt it, honestly

Leah, Maaleh Adumim said...

I think Hillel is being sarcastic. when he writes "with an Arab DM the arabs with Israeli Citizenship will enlist in the IDF." - nobody could write either half of that sentence with a straight face.

Hillel Levin said...

Leah, sarcasm is lost on Israelis and Batya has been here over 40 years.

Batya said...

Hillel, Leah, sarcasm doesn't work with the written word, nor is it good in any pr, hasbara forum. That's one of my top two bits of advice when dealing with the press.

goyisherebbe said...

That's not sarcasm, it's snarkasm. I take back what I said about this being normal. The whole thing is weird. It is the result of Bibi thinking everything is in the bag plus the proliferation of neophytes in this Knesset. I have no idea how this is going to end and can only pray it works out. I totally distrust all news sources, including the alternate media, on this one and therefore have no clue what is really going on.

Batya said...

goyish, here in the bleachers, we should just pray.