And they keep on repeating all sorts of horrors about the present Likud Government led by Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu. The almost equally Leftist "justice" sic department is also doing its best to lower voter support of the Likud, which just a few short weeks ago had seemed to do a very clever thing by joining with Avigdor Liberman's Yisrael Beitenu Party. At first that new election alliance seemed to be bringing them more voters, but then the Leftist brought out the heavy guns and started firing.
Now the courts have been threatening indictment of Liberman after more than a decade of investigations, and he has resigned.
Polls enthusiastically shown by the media have shown a rapid lack of support for the Likud, even though the Jerusalem Post had a readers poll that predicted Liberman's resignation wouldn't make a difference.
The indictment that was due to be filed against Yisrael Beytenu leader Avigdor Liberman – shortly after his parliamentary immunity was waived and his resignation as foreign minister went into effect – was delayed at the last minute.
The last laugh seems to be that the parties benefiting the most are further to the Right than the Likud, NRP aka Bayit Yehudi and Otzmah L'Yisrael, led by MKs Dr. Arye Eldad and Dr. Michael Ben-Ari.
Liberman's decision to step down over his pending indictment will:
1. Strengthen the Likud-Beytenu party in the polls. 26.89% 2. Cause Likud-Beytenu to slide in the polls. 25.21% 3. Will not change voter attitudes toward the party 47.90% Total votes: 238
Here is an average of the polls presented as a pie chart. The blue parties represent the right wing, gray and black are the orthodox parties, purple represents the center, red represents the left and green the Arab and joint Arab-Jewish parties.Israel's Left and Center are slipping and will just drop more, because as I've written many times their supporters have few children which makes for fewer voters. There's a pretty good chance that Otzmah L'Yisrael supporters are less likely to be polled and probably have a much larger support base.
While these polls have considerable variations on the results for the individual parties (Tzipi Livni’s party ranges from 6.5 seats in one poll to 11 on another) a few common trends can be noticed:
- Avigdon Lieberman and Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud Beitenu party is losing support to the hard right. Likud Bietenu is currently polling 37 seats (the two parties have 42 Knesset sears right now), and more importantly, the general trend is downward (Likud Beitenu had more than 38 seats in last week’s average, and closer to 40 a month ago). At the same time, Naftali Bennet’s National Religious Party now averages 12 seats, while the radical Otzma Le’Israel Party – which had a racist campaign ad disqualified by the central election committee last week – is coming very close to passing the minimum threshold. Combined, their average of 13 seats represent a rise of 6 seats from the number they have in the current Knesset. Netanyahu’s recent behavior and his willingness to confront the world on the issue of the settlements betray an understanding that his real challenge comes from the right.
Elections are just a few weeks away. It still seems very easy to to predict that Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu will again put together the coatliton, but the question will be if he'll be able to make a deal with the Center-Left parties or will he have to depend on the Right and Religious parties to join his coalition.