Israel has a long history with new political parties winning big and then fading away. The only difference between Kadima's inception and the others was that the other parties, more like the "Retiree Party," which also debuted tremendously, were led by political hopefuls or almost has-beens, rather than politicians like Sharon and Olmert, who were at the peak of their powers. They had already taken over the Likud. They didn't need a new political framework.
And now, less than a year after the elections and a full year after Sharon's stroke, polls show that the party is steadily losing its support. And at the same time, so is the Retiree Party.
The only parties showing an increase are the Likud and Yisrael Beiteinu.
I find the wording of the title significant, since it blames Olmert.
Kadima's approval rating plummets under Olmert
By Yossi Verter
Kadima under the leadership of Prime Minister Ehud Olmert is sinking in the polls losing nearly two-thirds of its strength. According to a Haaretz-Dialog poll earlier this week, were elections held today, Kadima would win 12 seats in the Knesset and Likud would take its place with 29 seats.
According to the poll, only 20 percent of those who voted for Kadima in the previous election would do so today, while two-thirds of those supporting Likud in the 2006 election would do so again.
Here are the numbers:
If elections were held today how would you vote (expressed in mandates).
Actual Knesset today in [brackets]
12 [29] Kadima
18 [19] Labor
29 [12] Likud
10 [11] Shas
14 [11] Yisrael Beteinu
09 [09] Nat'l Union/NRP
04 [07] Retirees Party
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah
06 [05] Meretz
11 [10] Arab parties
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